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Burlington Housing Affordability 2026

$975,000 average price, 9.8x estimated after-tax income, $2,990/mo rent, and a 41/100 affordability score.

Price-to-After-Tax
9.8x
Mortgage Est.
$4,265/mo
Avg Rent
$2,990
YoY Change
+1.2%
Short Answer

Burlington's average home price is $975,000, equal to 9.8x estimated after-tax income. That ranks Burlington 27 of 76 markets for price-to-net-income pressure in this tracker. The gross price-to-income multiple is 8.5x, which remains the more relevant measure for mortgage qualification.

10-Year Home Price Trend: Burlington
$561k$822k$1083k$1343k$1604k201520172019202120232025

*Historical data reflects Ontario provincial averages as a representative proxy for local market velocity.

Market Summary

"Burlington's housing market is best read through the payment gap: local prices sit at 9.8x estimated after-tax income, while the estimated mortgage payment is 4,265 dollars per month before taxes and ownership costs."

Affordability Math

Estimated 20% Down
$195,000
Payment-to-Income
45%
Average home price$975,000
Estimated after-tax income$99,200
Price-to-after-tax income9.8x
Gross income (mortgage lens)$114,400
Average monthly rent$2,990
Rough income needed at 30% payment cap$170,600
After-tax affordability rank27 of 76
Gross-income pressure rank27 of 76

After-tax income is a province-normalized estimate using the 2023 economic-family after-tax-to-total-income relationship in Statistics Canada Table 11-10-0237-01. It supports market comparison, not a personal tax calculation.

What This Means

Buyers

For buyers, Burlington is a payment test first and a price forecast second: owning carries an estimated $1,275 monthly premium before taxes, fees, insurance, maintenance, and condo costs. pricing is not moving enough to solve affordability on its own.

Renters

For renters, average rent is $2,990, or about 31.4% of median income. That keeps rent pressure above the common 30% affordability line.

Owners

For owners, the key renewal question is whether a household can carry a $4,265 estimated payment without stretching amortization too far or relying on future rate cuts.

Top Affordability Challenges

  • 1
    9.8x price-to-after-tax-income ratio puts Burlington at rank 27 of 76 for net-income pressure
  • 2
    $195,000 estimated 20% down payment before closing costs
  • 3
    $170,600 rough income needed if mortgage payments are capped near 30% of gross income
  • 4
    31.4% rent-to-income ratio leaves renters with limited room to save a down payment
  • 5
    1.5% vacancy rate suggests limited rental slack

Market Outlook

Burlington ranks 27 of 76 cities for price-to-income pressure in this tracker. That makes the market stretched, with year-over-year price movement of +1.2%.

Burlington Housing FAQ

Is Burlington affordable for home buyers in 2026?

Burlington is stretched in this tracker. The average price is $975,000, which is 8.5 times local median income, and the estimated 20%-down mortgage payment is $4,265 per month.

How much income is needed to buy in Burlington?

A rough payment-only screen points to about $170,600 of gross household income if mortgage payments are kept near 30% of income. Buyers still need to add property tax, insurance, utilities, repairs, condo fees where applicable, and closing costs.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Burlington?

Based on this dataset, the estimated mortgage payment is $1,275 higher than average rent before non-mortgage ownership costs. That makes renting the lower monthly outlay for many households unless they have a large down payment or a long holding period.

How does Burlington compare with other Canadian cities?

Burlington ranks 27 of 76 cities by price-to-income pressure in this tracker. Its 8.5x multiple is 2.4 points above the tracker median of 6.1x.

Next Steps

Calculate Your Specific Path

Use our Land Transfer Tax and Mortgage Payment calculators to see how Burlington's prices impact your specific budget.

Informational Purposes Only: The content provided on BubbleWatch.ca, including all housing market analyses, affordability tools, and pricing forecasts, is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or real estate advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making any real estate or financial decisions. Past performance or market trends are not indicative of future results.